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DYCOR: Capturing Hidden Stock Relationships for Stock Trend Prediction

  • Hanyang University
  • Seoul National University

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contributionpeer-review

Abstract

Stock trend prediction, the task of forecasting future trends of stocks from their historical feature sequences, remains highly challenging due to the complex and dynamic nature of financial markets. In reality, stocks form diverse relationships that transcend traditional sector boundaries as market conditions evolve, i.e., stocks within the same sector may display different trends, while those in different sectors often exhibit similar movements. However, most existing stock prediction methods rely on predefined static relationships, lacking flexibility to adapt to changing market dynamics. Furthermore, objectives widely adopted in prior work have limitations in capturing complex patterns and relationships in stock market data. To address these limitations, we propose DYCOR, a novel stock trend prediction method that integrates two key innovations: (i) dynamic stock clustering, which captures market characteristics without relying on predefined relationship data by adaptively discovering hidden stock relationships; and (ii) correlation-aware training, which aligns predicted and ground-truth stock trends by reflecting their correlations in a fine-grained manner. We evaluate DYCOR on three datasets NASDAQ, NYSE, and S&P 500 widely used in existing research, and this method demonstrates superior performance across correlation-based and retrieval-based metrics compared to state-of-the-art baseline methods, while maintaining competitive runtime efficiency.

Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationCIKM 2025 - Proceedings of the 34th ACM International Conference on Information and Knowledge Management
PublisherAssociation for Computing Machinery, Inc
Pages458-467
Number of pages10
ISBN (Electronic)9798400720406
DOIs
StatePublished - 10 Nov 2025
Event34th ACM International Conference on Information and Knowledge Management, CIKM 2025 - Seoul, Korea, Republic of
Duration: 10 Nov 202514 Nov 2025

Publication series

NameCIKM 2025 - Proceedings of the 34th ACM International Conference on Information and Knowledge Management

Conference

Conference34th ACM International Conference on Information and Knowledge Management, CIKM 2025
Country/TerritoryKorea, Republic of
CitySeoul
Period10/11/2514/11/25

Keywords

  • correlation-aware training
  • dynamic stock clustering
  • stock trend prediction

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