TY - GEN
T1 - DYCOR
T2 - 34th ACM International Conference on Information and Knowledge Management, CIKM 2025
AU - Choi, Kangmin
AU - Shin, Geon
AU - Yang, Jungwoo
AU - Kim, Hyunjoon
N1 - Publisher Copyright:
© 2025 Copyright held by the owner/author(s).
PY - 2025/11/10
Y1 - 2025/11/10
N2 - Stock trend prediction, the task of forecasting future trends of stocks from their historical feature sequences, remains highly challenging due to the complex and dynamic nature of financial markets. In reality, stocks form diverse relationships that transcend traditional sector boundaries as market conditions evolve, i.e., stocks within the same sector may display different trends, while those in different sectors often exhibit similar movements. However, most existing stock prediction methods rely on predefined static relationships, lacking flexibility to adapt to changing market dynamics. Furthermore, objectives widely adopted in prior work have limitations in capturing complex patterns and relationships in stock market data. To address these limitations, we propose DYCOR, a novel stock trend prediction method that integrates two key innovations: (i) dynamic stock clustering, which captures market characteristics without relying on predefined relationship data by adaptively discovering hidden stock relationships; and (ii) correlation-aware training, which aligns predicted and ground-truth stock trends by reflecting their correlations in a fine-grained manner. We evaluate DYCOR on three datasets NASDAQ, NYSE, and S&P 500 widely used in existing research, and this method demonstrates superior performance across correlation-based and retrieval-based metrics compared to state-of-the-art baseline methods, while maintaining competitive runtime efficiency.
AB - Stock trend prediction, the task of forecasting future trends of stocks from their historical feature sequences, remains highly challenging due to the complex and dynamic nature of financial markets. In reality, stocks form diverse relationships that transcend traditional sector boundaries as market conditions evolve, i.e., stocks within the same sector may display different trends, while those in different sectors often exhibit similar movements. However, most existing stock prediction methods rely on predefined static relationships, lacking flexibility to adapt to changing market dynamics. Furthermore, objectives widely adopted in prior work have limitations in capturing complex patterns and relationships in stock market data. To address these limitations, we propose DYCOR, a novel stock trend prediction method that integrates two key innovations: (i) dynamic stock clustering, which captures market characteristics without relying on predefined relationship data by adaptively discovering hidden stock relationships; and (ii) correlation-aware training, which aligns predicted and ground-truth stock trends by reflecting their correlations in a fine-grained manner. We evaluate DYCOR on three datasets NASDAQ, NYSE, and S&P 500 widely used in existing research, and this method demonstrates superior performance across correlation-based and retrieval-based metrics compared to state-of-the-art baseline methods, while maintaining competitive runtime efficiency.
KW - correlation-aware training
KW - dynamic stock clustering
KW - stock trend prediction
UR - https://www.scopus.com/pages/publications/105023166772
U2 - 10.1145/3746252.3761413
DO - 10.1145/3746252.3761413
M3 - Conference contribution
AN - SCOPUS:105023166772
T3 - CIKM 2025 - Proceedings of the 34th ACM International Conference on Information and Knowledge Management
SP - 458
EP - 467
BT - CIKM 2025 - Proceedings of the 34th ACM International Conference on Information and Knowledge Management
PB - Association for Computing Machinery, Inc
Y2 - 10 November 2025 through 14 November 2025
ER -