Abstract
While incorporating multiple correlated energy sources significantly improves energy consumption forecasting accuracy, practical data collection limitations often prevent access to complete multi-energy datasets across all regions. This paper addresses the critical gap between the theoretical benefits of multi-energy forecasting and the practical constraints of incomplete data collection by introducing a novel cross-regional inference framework. We propose the first self-supervised learning approach for inferring missing energy sources in multi-energy forecasting, which leverages complete datasets from reference regions to infer missing energy consumption patterns in target regions with incomplete data collection. The key innovation lies in our self-supervised representation learning method that captures complex inter-energy correlations beyond traditional distance-based metrics, enabling effective clustering of households with similar multi-energy consumption patterns. Our approach provides theoretical guarantees for clustering convergence and includes comprehensive complexity analysis, addressing fundamental questions about the scalability and reliability of cross-regional energy inference. Through extensive experiments on real-world datasets, we demonstrate substantial improvements over baseline approaches. Specifically, our method achieves up to 30% better inference accuracy compared to simple averaging methods. Furthermore, in the downstream forecasting task, it reduces the forecasting error (MAE) by an average of 15.2% and a maximum of 27.0% compared to single-source baselines, showing robust performance across different temporal patterns and regional characteristics. The source code for the proposed framework is available at Anonymous GitHub Repo.
| Original language | English |
|---|---|
| Article number | 114732 |
| Journal | Applied Soft Computing |
| Volume | 192 |
| DOIs | |
| State | Published - Apr 2026 |
Keywords
- Clustering
- Energy consumption forecasting
- Multi-source data
- Representation learning
- Self-supervised learning
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