The causal relationship between electricity consumption and economic growth in the ASEAN countries

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Abstract

This paper investigates the causal relationship between electricity consumption and economic growth among the Association of South East Asian Nations (ASEAN) 4 members, namely Indonesia, Malaysia, Singapore, and Thailand, using modern time-series techniques for the period 1971-2002. The results indicate that there is a bi-directional causality between electricity consumption and economic growth in Malaysia and Singapore. This means that an increase in electricity consumption directly affects economic growth and that economic growth also stimulates further electricity consumption in the two countries. However, uni-directional causality runs from economic growth to electricity consumption in Indonesia and Thailand without any feedback effect. Thus, electricity conservation policies can be initiated without deteriorating economic side effects in the two countries.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)3573-3582
Number of pages10
JournalEnergy Policy
Volume34
Issue number18
DOIs
StatePublished - Dec 2006

Keywords

  • Causality
  • Economic growth
  • Electricity consumption

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